As the US economic expansion continues, various indicators, such as the historically low rate of unemployment coupled with low inflation and a cautious posture by the Federal Reserve, are providing optimism that the economy will reach a new record as the longest expansion ever.
Yet, a late-cycle slowdown in growth is inevitable. The big question, indeed, the elephant in the room is whether the US will enter a period of recession in the coming year or two.
Constance Hunter, KPMG’s Chief Economist will strip away the hype and reveal both the opportunities and the very real risks present in the US and global economy.
Ms. Hunter heads macroeconomic research, analytics and forecasting. Constance works closely with the firm’s leadership and clients to identify inflection points, risks and opportunities that arise in the constantly evolving economic landscape.
She is known for correctly calling economic indicators that presage market turning points such as the Russian currency devaluation in 1998, the Dotcom bubble in 2001, the real estate and credit crisis in 2007-08, the recovery of the housing market and concurrent low bond yields in 2012, and the continued low bond yields during the recovery and into the expansion.
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For more information contact: Diane Mensinger (973 303 6297) or visit SIFM.org.